The client's current peak-sales forecasting framework produces strong numerical outputs and narratives, but requires
real-world forecast accountability — the kind held by people who've owned forecasts that drove BD, portfolio, or investment decisions. We are looking for a senior commercial / forecasting expert to: Write 'golden' peak-sales forecasts for representative drug programs and standard prompts. Define structural checks, scenario logic, and sanity bands for automated forecast evaluations. Make explicit the heuristics and base-rate assumptions used by experienced forecasters to tell a realistic model from a speculative one.
Profile: Industry Commercial Forecaster: Director/Sr. Director/VP-level experience in global forecasting, brand planning, or commercial insights. Built and defended patient-based peak-sales models used in portfolio, BD, or investment contexts. Familiar with forecasting for multiple drugs or indications, particularly during pre-launch and early commercia...